Globalni katastrofalni rizik
(преусмерено са Existential risks)
Globalni katastrofalni rizik ili scenario sudnjeg dana je hipotetički događaj koji bi mogao naštetiti ljudskom blagostanju na globalnom nivou,[2] čak ugroziti ili uništiti modernu civilizaciju.[3] Događaj koji bi mogao izazvati izumiranje ljudi ili trajno i drastično umanjiti postojanje ili potencijal čovečanstva poznat je kao „egzistencijalni rizik“.[4]
Tokom poslednje dve decenije, osnovan je niz akademskih i neprofitnih organizacija da istražuju globalne katastrofalne i egzistencijalne rizike, formulišu potencijalne mere za ublažavanje i zagovaraju ili sprovode ove mere.[5][6][7][8]
Reference
уреди- ^ Schulte, P.; et al. (5. 3. 2010). „The Chicxulub Asteroid Impact and Mass Extinction at the Cretaceous-Paleogene Boundary” (PDF). Science. 327 (5970): 1214—1218. Bibcode:2010Sci...327.1214S. PMID 20203042. S2CID 2659741. doi:10.1126/science.1177265.
- ^ Bostrom, Nick (2008). Global Catastrophic Risks (PDF). Oxford University Press. стр. 1.
- ^ Ripple WJ, Wolf C, Newsome TM, Galetti M, Alamgir M, Crist E, Mahmoud MI, Laurance WF (13. 11. 2017). „World Scientists' Warning to Humanity: A Second Notice”. BioScience. 67 (12): 1026—1028. doi:10.1093/biosci/bix125
. hdl:11336/71342 .
- ^ Bostrom, Nick (март 2002). „Existential Risks: Analyzing Human Extinction Scenarios and Related Hazards”. Journal of Evolution and Technology. 9.
- ^ „About FHI”. Future of Humanity Institute. Приступљено 12. 8. 2021.
- ^ „About us”. Centre for the Study of Existential Risk. Приступљено 12. 8. 2021.
- ^ „The Future of Life Institute”. Future of Life Institute. Приступљено 5. 5. 2014.
- ^ „Nuclear Threat Initiative”. Nuclear Threat Initiative. Приступљено 5. 6. 2015.
Literatura
уреди- Avin, Shahar; Wintle, Bonnie C.; Weitzdörfer, Julius; ó Héigeartaigh, Seán S.; Sutherland, William J.; Rees, Martin J. (2018). „Classifying global catastrophic risks”. Futures. 102: 20—26. doi:10.1016/j.futures.2018.02.001 .
- Corey S. Powell (2000). "Twenty ways the world could end suddenly", Discover Magazine
- Derrick Jensen (2006) Endgame (ISBN 1-58322-730-X).
- Donella Meadows (1972). The Limits to Growth (ISBN 0-87663-165-0).
- Edward O. Wilson (2003). The Future of Life. ISBN 0-679-76811-4
- Holt, Jim (25. 2. 2021). „The Power of Catastrophic Thinking”. The New York Review of Books. св. LXVIII бр. 3. стр. 26—29. „Whether you are searching for a cure for cancer, or pursuing a scholarly or artistic career, or engaged in establishing more just institutions, a threat to the future of humanity is also a threat to the significance of what you do.” Непознати параметар
|quote-page=игнорисан (помоћ) - Huesemann, Michael H., and Joyce A. Huesemann (2011). Technofix: Why Technology Won't Save Us or the Environment, Chapter 6, "Sustainability or Collapse", New Society Publishers, Gabriola Island, British Columbia, Canada, 464 pages (ISBN 0865717044).
- Jared Diamond, Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed, Penguin Books, 2005 and 2011 (ISBN 9780241958681).
- Jean-Francois Rischard (2003). High Noon 20 Global Problems, 20 Years to Solve Them. ISBN 0-465-07010-8
- Joel Garreau, Radical Evolution, 2005 (ISBN 978-0385509657).
- John A. Leslie (1996). The End of the World (ISBN 0-415-14043-9).
- Joseph Tainter, (1990). The Collapse of Complex Societies, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK (ISBN 9780521386739).
- Martin Rees (2004). Our Final Hour: A Scientist's warning: How Terror, Error, and Environmental Disaster Threaten Humankind's Future in This Century—On Earth and Beyond. ISBN 0-465-06863-4
- Roger-Maurice Bonnet and Lodewijk Woltjer, Surviving 1,000 Centuries Can We Do It? (2008), Springer-Praxis Books.
- Toby Ord (2020). The Precipice - Existential Risk and the Future of Humanity. Bloomsbury Publishing. ISBN 9781526600219
- Walsh, Bryan (2019). End Times: A Brief Guide to the End of the World. Hachette Books. ISBN 978-0275948023.
Spoljašnje veze
уреди- „Are we on the road to civilisation collapse?”. BBC. 19. 2. 2019.
- MacAskill, William (5. 8. 2022). „The Case for Longtermism”. The New York Times.
- "What a way to go" from The Guardian. Ten scientists name the biggest dangers to Earth and assess the chances they will happen. April 14, 2005.
- Humanity under threat from perfect storm of crises – study. The Guardian. February 6, 2020.
- Annual Reports on Global Risk by the Global Challenges Foundation
- Center on Long-Term Risk
- Global Catastrophic Risk Policy Архивирано на сајту Wayback Machine (11. август 2019)